April 1, 2021 | 20:19 | Ep. 26
The Fed holds the key to the economic cycleCo-Chief Investment Strategists Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, discuss what the U.S. Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) current outlook for inflation and growth mean for the maturity of the current economic cycle. After the recent rise in interest rates and a $1.9 trillion stimulus package, investors are looking for clues when the Fed might begin to tighten. However, at the March meeting, the Fed signaled it was willing to let inflation run over 2%, which pushed back expectations of a potential rate hike. The investment strategists explain what this could mean for both equity and fixed-income portfolios.
March 19, 2021 | 24:03 | Ep. 25
Will consumer spending propel the economic recovery?Sandy Sanders, CFA, senior portfolio manager at Manulife Investment Management, weighs in on the health of the consumer and why conditions now are very different from previous economic recoveries. He discusses how technology, demographics, and productivity increases could shape an economy that’s rebounding after the pandemic recession. The portfolio manager also outlines various bullish and bearish scenarios, as well as the sectors where he sees the best investment opportunities now.
March 4, 2021 | 27:38 | Ep. 24
Will emerging markets lead the new cycle?Co-Chief Investment Strategists Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, and Emily R. Roland, CIMA, discuss why they like emerging markets as one way to position for a new cycle as the global economy recovers from the pandemic. In U.S. equities, they see signs of a rotation to value and small-cap stocks. Meanwhile, bond flows suggest a preference for passive investment, but the strategists make the case for an active approach centered on higher-quality credit and rising interest rates.
February 13, 2021 | 14:24 | Ep. 23
Short squeezes, SPACs, and market volatilityMichael J. Scanlon, Jr., CFA, portfolio manager at Manulife Investment Management, discusses the recent stock market volatility and why companies beating quarterly earnings estimates may be getting lost in the shuffle as investors focus on recent hedge fund losses. Scanlon, who co-manages the John Hancock Balanced Fund, delves into the mechanics of shorting a stock, how short squeezes happen, and why short sellers are often unfairly labeled as villains. The portfolio manager also offers his thoughts on the recent explosion of special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs), signs of frothiness in the markets, and the importance of maintaining a long-term mindset during volatile times.
January 29, 2021 | 21:47 | Ep. 22
An investor’s guide to Biden’s first 100 daysThomas Mucha, geopolitical strategist for Wellington Management, discusses what investors should be looking for during the pivotal first 100 days of Joe Biden’s presidency. The longtime Washington observer expects an intense focus on combating the COVID‐19 pandemic and rolling out economic stimulus. Other key issues to watch during Biden’s first 100 days include the possible introduction of an infrastructure deal and a more multilateral approach to foreign policy, Mucha explains. Although we recently examined the key early economic takeaways and positioning after the election, this episode also covers the longer‐term investment implications of a Biden presidency.
January 8, 2021 | 17:23 | Ep. 21
Top investing ideas for 2021Co-Chief Investment Strategists Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, evaluate how their top portfolio ideas performed last year and share how they’re positioning for 2021. The co-strategists explain why they’re looking for some parts of the equity markets—including traditional value sectors, mid caps, and emerging markets—to catch up to the hot performance of dominant mega-cap stocks in 2021. In fixed income, they discuss why they’re more constructive on high-yield corporate debt, even though they still like high-quality bonds such as U.S. Treasuries for diversification and some protection if high-flying stocks falter this year. Finally, Matt and Emily offer their thoughts on the recent turmoil in Washington and how markets and the economy may be affected by the election results.
December 17th, 2020 | 19:31 | Ep. 20
2021 market and economic outlook2020 was one for the record books in terms of market and economic volatility. In the latest Portfolio Intelligence podcast, Co‐Chief Investment Strategists Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, look back at the year that was, and offer their 2021 outlook. The strategists discuss how COVID‐19 vaccines may alter the economic trajectory, what they’re watching in equity markets, why inflation should remain subdued, and where to find yield in a low‐rate environment.
December 2nd, 2020 | 14:28 | Ep. 19
Credit research, from AAA to CCCPutting credit research at the center of a fixed‐income portfolio is the key to robust active management inside the $20 billion John Hancock Bond Fund. In his interview with Portfolio Intelligence host John Bryson, fund manager Howard Greene of Manulife Investment Management describes how he and his team do credit research differently than many competitors. With individual analysts providing full sector coverage up and down the credit‐quality spectrum, Howard outlines how this approach helps analysts evaluate the upper bounds of high yield and the lower tiers of the investment‐grade market segments. According to Howard, this can help uncover more frequently overlooked value opportunities while enabling more agnostic views on where to find the most attractive sources of yield.
November 4th, 2020 | 16:24 | Ep. 18
What’s next for markets after the election?Co-Chief Investment Strategists Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, give their initial take on the U.S. election results, how the stock market is reacting, and the potential impact for the economy. Like 2016, the polls were way off, but a stock market indicator during election years hinted at a much closer presidential race. The strategists also discuss which sectors of the market and economy they see performing best over the next four years, the outlook for fiscal stimulus and U.S. Treasury yields, and why they’re doubling down on balanced portfolios with a high-quality tilt. To learn more about how the election results may impact markets and the economy, explore our 2020 elections page.
October 30th, 2020 | 19:13 | Ep. 17
ETF tax efficiency and year-end planningDirector of ETF Capital Markets Will Creedon discusses how investment professionals are preparing for year-end tax planning and how ETF tax efficiency can help make their jobs easier. The 2020 market volatility has created tax-loss harvesting opportunities that haven’t been seen in several years, he tell host John Bryson. Will also provides insight on which asset classes might be ripe for tax harvesting, how the U.S. tax code may change after the election, and where to learn more about smart tax strategies.
October 16th, 2020 | 16:24 | Ep. 16
Tech talk: taking your business virtualIn today’s environment, financial professionals can’t really maximize their businesses’ potential without using virtual technologies. National Sales Manager Andy McFetridge joins John Bryson to talk about making the most of these technologies and techniques—including online meeting platforms, strategies for personalizing the client experience, and other best practices for communicating through virtual meetings. Learn how using today’s technologies well can enhance your connections with clients while unlocking new value for your business.
October 2nd, 2020 | 17:52 | Ep. 15
Volatility and the electionCo-Chief Investment Strategists Emily Roland and Matt Miskin weigh in on the recent market volatility and what investors should focus on in the weeks leading up to the crucial U.S. election. The strategists also update host John Bryson on what the latest economic data is hinting about the growth trajectory during the COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, Emily and Matt share their highest-conviction ideas for the equity and fixed-income markets, the outlook for the U.S. Federal Reserve, and what credit spreads and currency markets are forecasting for the markets.
September 17th, 2020 | 29:36 | Ep. 14
College admissions tips in the age of COVID‐19College admissions coach Nancy Steenson tells host John Bryson how students can distinguish themselves from thousands of other college applications, particularly during the time of COVID‐19. She also provides tips on taking the SAT, if a gap year is appropriate now, why the high school transcript is so important, and how to write engaging essays to get noticed by college admissions boards. Finally, Steenson shares the most common mistakes she sees when students apply to colleges, and discusses strategies for parents to save for college and qualify for financial aid.
September 2nd, 2020 | 28:10 | Ep. 13
Looking ahead to NovemberThomas Mucha, geopolitical strategist for Wellington Management, offers an expert and timely opinion of what to look for in November, and how markets may react in various election scenarios. The veteran political and macro economic analyst tells host John Bryson which polls and battleground states he’s watching and how the COVID-19 pandemic may figure into the upcoming elections. Finally, Mucha provides insight into sectors that could be most affected by which party controls the White House and Congress, and why climate change and U.S.-China relations are among the top challenges he sees for the global economy and markets.
August 20th, 2020 | 23:39 | Ep. 12
Revisiting the swoosh recoveryAs markets continue to mend despite still-difficult economic conditions, Co-Chief Investment Strategists Emily Roland and Matt Miskin update host John Bryson on how their investment forecasts are faring in 2020. Their tilt to higher-quality segments of the equities and bond markets have been a tailwind, but high-yield bonds have rebounded more than expected. The strategists also describe why they continue to see a Nike “swoosh”-shaped economic recovery, rather than a rapid V-shaped bounce. Finally, Emily and Matt look ahead to the November election and explain why investors may actually want to pay more attention to the macroeconomic backdrop rather than letting politics influence portfolios.
July 30th, 2020 | 31:06 | Ep. 11
ETF investing in volatile marketsAs exchange‐traded funds (ETFs) continue to grow in popularity, Director of ETF Capital Markets Will Creedon discusses how investors have been using ETFs for tax efficiency during today’s unprecedented volatility. Will gets into the important nuances of how ETFs differ from mutual funds and explains why ETFs are notable for their tax efficiency. He also provides insightful context on ETF liquidity during the extreme volatility in 2020, and offers some trading best practices to keep in mind in fast‐moving markets. Finally, Will and host John Bryson discuss how the pandemic is creating sector dispersion and ETF investment opportunities growing out of that theme.
July 17th, 2020 | 14:34 | Ep. 10
Don't fight the FedIt’s just after quarter end, so Co-Chief Investment Strategists Matt Miskin and Emily Roland are back to discuss their latest outlook for capital markets with host John Bryson. Citing a bottoming in U.S. economic data as well as hints of a turnaround in earnings estimates, they point at higher‐quality components within tech, communication services, and healthcare, as well as the nascent leadership of mid‐cap stocks. With cash piling up in investors’ portfolios, the discussion also dwells on opportunities in international equities and where to search for yield opportunities in fixed income without incurring excessive risk—particularly areas that are enjoying U.S. Federal Reserve support.
July 8th, 2020 | 25:40 | Ep. 9
The pulse of value investingJay Feeney, chief investment officer at Boston Partners, explores value investing and questions about the persistence of the value premium. According to Jay, when value is out of favor, that’s not the time to lose your conviction in the investing style’s future potential. While the severity of value’s underperformance relative to growth has repeatedly challenged investor expectations in recent years, today’s extreme spreads in valuation between growth and value stocks suggest a rising probability of mean reversion.
June 17th, 2020 | 20:49 | Ep. 8
The swoosh recoveryMarkets have come a long way fast since their late March lows. But with forward guidance from the U.S. Federal Reserve indicating near-zero interest rates through 2022, what does that mean for portfolios looking forward? As Co-Chief Investment Strategists Emily Roland and Matt Miskin discuss with host John Bryson, there’s a record amount of cash on the sidelines—$4.7 trillion—and investors want to know where to get the best bang for their buck across the yield curve and economic sectors. Faced with the prospect of a Nike “swoosh”-shaped recovery, in which the economy drops sharply and then slowly rebuilds, Emily and Matt counsel a diversified, balanced approach across stocks and bonds, maintaining a focus on intermediate-term bonds, a neutral stance with respect to value and growth styles, and a continued emphasis on higher-quality opportunities.
June 8th, 2020 | 49:59 | Ep. 7
Unpacking the CARES ActIn the midst of the pandemic in March 2020, U.S. lawmakers passed the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, which offered $2 trillion+ in stimulus funding for the U.S. economy. While this has been a welcome development for individuals and businesses, the Act itself is a labyrinth of features and eligibility conditions that pose important questions for financial professionals.
To outline the basics of the Act’s economic benefits and to offer an interpretation of some of its more complex provisions, John is joined by Chris Frank, head of defined contribution consulting at John Hancock Retirement, and Ed Jastrem, CFP, director of financial planning at the Massachusetts-based registered investment advisor Heritage Financial. The topics at issue range from the expansion of unemployment benefits and the impact on federally backed student loans and mortgages to coronavirus-related retirement plan distributions. In addition, the discussion highlights ways in which the Act is still being interpreted by legal and tax professionals, particularly around distributions and guidance for retirement plans and their advisors.
May 14th, 2020 | 20:58 | Ep. 6
Oil in the recoveryAmid the coronavirus pandemic, global demand for oil has fallen by roughly 30%, according to portfolio manager and energy market specialist David T. Cohen, CFA, of Boston Partners. David joins Portfolio Intelligence host John Bryson to discuss the recent volatility in oil prices, the ins and outs of the oil supply chain, and considerations for investors in energy stocks as the world attempts to move forward with an uncertain economic recovery.
April 30th, 2020 | 22:52 | Episode 5
LinkedIn: the social answer to social distanceWith over 650 million members and 43% of them in decision-making roles, LinkedIn offers a huge reservoir of networking opportunities for financial professionals. Brendan Barca, an independent LinkedIn consultant and career coach, joins host John Bryson to discuss best practices for using LinkedIn to build a business, including tips on how to optimize your online profile and how to deliver a solutions-oriented message that will appeal to prospective clients.
April 16th, 2020 | 19:17 | Episode 4
Do bears breed bulls?Host John Bryson is joined by Matt Miskin and Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategists at John Hancock Investment Management. In discussing their Market Intelligence outlook for Q2 2020 and beyond, Matt and Emily identify what they consider to be attractive equity and fixed-income opportunities in the making despite the severe economic disruption caused by COVID-19 and the measures taken nationwide to “flatten the curve” of new cases.
April 2nd, 2020 | 23:05 | Episode 3
Intuition, logic, and investingWhen market volatility rises, our first impulse can be to cut and run. But that’s a biologically conditioned emotional response rather than a logical one. In this episode of Portfolio Intelligence, John Bryson is joined by Keith Van Etten, portfolio consultant and behavioral finance specialist at John Hancock Investment Management, to investigate our intuitive responses to stimuli versus our logical curbing of emotionally driven reactions. Applying these insights to investing, they discuss mental anchoring, unconscious simplification strategies, and other situations where listening to our gut can get our portfolios into trouble.
March 16th, 2020 | 13:42 | Episode 2
Volatility in context, part IIIn the context of compounding uncertainties for the markets, John Bryson is joined by Matt Miskin and Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategists at John Hancock Investment Management. While addressing the market’s gathering speed to the downside, they also consider its potential upward velocity in the wake of new and pending monetary and fiscal measures. With a near-term economic shock of the coronavirus pandemic a virtual certainty, the discussion raises timely asset allocation guidance to help investors look beyond the storm of current volatility to focus on long-term investment plans.
March 5th, 2020 | 15:23 | Episode 1